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  • LOC-I Accidents Led Other Categories, Data Show

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LOC-I Accidents Led Other Categories, Data Show

by Linda Werfelman | October 26, 2018

More accidents involving the worldwide commercial jet airplane fleet from 2008 through 2017 were classified as loss of control accidents than any other category, according to data from Boeing Commercial Airplanes (Figure 1).

Data showed that loss of control–in flight (LOC-I) accidents totaled 14 over the 10-year period, followed by accidents classified as controlled flight into terrain (13) and runway excursion on landing (8).

Onboard fatalities followed a similar pattern, with 1,129 fatalities in LOC-I accidents, 600 fatalities in controlled flight into terrain accidents and 201 fatalities in runway excursion landing accidents.

The data were contained in Boeing’s annual Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents, made public in early October. The document includes accidents involving commercial jet airplanes weighing more than 60,000 lb (27,216 kg) but excludes those manufactured in the Commonwealth of Independent States or the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics because of the lack of operational data, as well as commercial airplanes that are operated in military service.

Figure 1 — Fatalities by CAST/ICAO Taxonomy Accident Category, Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet, 2008–2017

CAST = U.S. Commercial Aviation Safety Team; ICAO = International Civil Aviation Organization; ARC = abnormal runway contact; CFIT = controlled flight into terrain; F-NI = fire/smoke (non-impact); LOC-I = loss of control–in flight; MAC = midair/near-midair collision; OTHR = other; RAMP = ground handling; RE = runway excursion; RI-VAP = runway incursion – vehicle, aircraft or person; SCF-PP = system/component failure or malfunction (powerplant); UNK = unknown or undetermined; USOS = undershoot/overshoot

No accidents were noted in the following principal categories: aerodrome; abrupt maneuver; air traffic management/communications, navigation, surveillance; bird strikes; cabin safety events; evacuation; external load-related occurrences; fire/smoke (post-impact); fuel related; ground collision; icing; low-altitude operations; loss of control–ground; runway incursion–animal; security related; system/component failure or malfunction (non‑powerplant); turbulence encounter; wildlife.

Note: Principal categories are as assigned by CAST. Airplanes manufactured in the Commonwealth of Independent States or the Soviet Union are excluded because of lack of operational data. Commercial airplanes used in military service are also excluded.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

More fatal accidents and more onboard fatalities from 2008 through 2017 occurred during final approach (27 percent of all fatal accidents and 32 percent of all onboard fatalities) than during any other phase of flight, the report said (Figure 2). The landing phase accounted for 22 percent of fatal accidents and 12 percent of onboard fatalities, and the cruise phase, for 11 percent of fatal accidents and 23 percent of fatalities, the report said.

Figure 2 — Fatal Accidents and Onboard Fatalities by Phase of Flight, 2008–2017

Note: Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

In 2017, aircraft from the worldwide commercial jet airplane fleet were involved in 40 accidents, including one accident that killed all four people in the airplane and 35 people on the ground, and two others that each killed a single bystander (Table 1).

The accident that resulted in onboard fatalities was the Jan. 16 crash in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan of an ACT Airlines Boeing 747-400 on a scheduled cargo flight. The accident occurred when the 747 overflew the runway during a precision approach and crashed into a nearby residential area.

The four resulting fatalities were equivalent to about 1.4 percent of the average of 283 people killed each year over the previous 10-year period from 2007 through 2016.

Of the 40 crashes in 2017, seven involved airplanes that were classified as hull losses — defined by Boeing as accidents in which an airplane is “totally destroyed or damaged and not repaired.” A hull loss also includes events in which an airplane is missing or “completely inaccessible,” according to the definition.

Table 1 — Selected 2017 Airplane Accidents
Date Airline Model Accident Location Phase of Flight Hull Loss Onboard Fatalities (External Fatalities) Major Accident

Note: At the time this statistical summary was compiled, missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 did not meet the criteria for being categorized as an airplane accident.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Jan. 16 ACT Airlines 747-400 Bishkek,
Kyrgyzstan
Go-around Yes 4|4 (35) Yes
The airplane overflew the runway during a precision approach, impacted terrain, then impacted a residential area.
Feb. 17 VIM Airlines 737-500 Riga, Russia Takeoff Yes
During takeoff roll, the airplane departed the right side of the runway onto soft ground, and came back onto the runway, resulting in heavy damage. There were no reported injuries.
Mar. 8 Ameristar Air
Cargo
MD-83 Detroit, Michigan, U.S. Takeoff Yes
The airplane was damaged after overrunning the end of the runway after a rejected takeoff, resulting in extensive damage. One passenger was reported to have received minor injuries during the subsequent evacuation.
Mar. 28 Peruvian Airlines 737-300 Jauja, Peru Landing Yes Yes
After landing, the airplane experienced a shimmy event and veered off the runway. The airplane was subsequently consumed by fire. There were no reported injuries.
May 31 Sriwijaya Air 737-300 Manokwari,
Indonesia
Landing Yes
After landing, the airplane overran the end of the runway, resulting in a nose gear collapse and heavy damage. There were no reported injuries.
July 12 Caribbean
Airlines Limited
737-800 St. Maarten,
Netherlands
Antilles
Takeoff 0|0 (1)
It was reported that a non-occupant onlooker was fatally injured by jet blast during the takeoff.
July 18 Tri M.G. Airlines 737-300 Wamena,
Indonesia
Landing Yes Yes
During landing, the airplane touched down hard, veered to the left, and came to rest on rough terrain with the landing gear collapsed, incurring heavy damage. There were no reported injuries.
Sept. 28 Ural Airlines A321 Leningrad,
Russia
Load/ unload 0|Unknown (1)
While exiting the airplane after a flight, a parent and infant fell when the external stairway collapsed. The parent was seriously injured and the infant received fatal injuries.
Nov. 15 Swaziland
Airlink
BAe 146-RJ85M Johannesburg,
South Africa
Not reported Yes
It was reported that the airplane had in-flight hail damage severe enough to result in a hull loss. There were no reported injuries.

Three of the 40 accidents were classified as major accidents — defined as accidents in which the airplane was destroyed, or there were multiple fatalities, or there was one fatality and the airplane was substantially damaged.

The three accidents were the Bishkek crash; a March 28 runway excursion and fire involving a Peruvian Airlines 737-300 landing in Jauja, Peru; and a July 18 landing accident involving a Tri M.G. Airlines 737-300 cargo flight in Wamena, Indonesia.

In comparison, Boeing data for 2016 showed a total of 30 accidents, including 13 hull losses, seven major accidents, and four fatal accidents with a total of 138 onboard fatalities and one external fatality.

Figure 3 — 10-Year Accident Rates, by Type of Operation, Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet, 2008–2017

* Charter passenger, charter cargo, scheduled cargo, maintenance test, ferry, positioning, training and demonstration flights.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Overall, the accident rate for commercial jets for the 10-year period from 2008 through 2017 was 0.44 per million departures, and the fatal accident rate was 0.16 per million departures (Figure 3). When other operations — charter passenger and cargo, scheduled cargo, maintenance test, ferry, positioning, training and demonstration flights — were included, the total accident rate was 0.57 per million departures and the fatal accident rate, 0.22 per million departures.

Data showed 387 accidents occurred during the 10-year period, including 37 fatal accidents with 2,261 onboard fatalities and an additional 125 fatalities involving people not aboard the accident airplanes (Table 2), the report said. Since Boeing began keeping records in 1959, the company has recorded 1,989 accidents, including 626 fatal accidents with 29,788 onboard fatalities and 1,254 external fatalities.

Table 2 — Accident Summary by Type of Operation
Type of Operation All Accidents Fatal Accidents Onboard Fatalities (External Fatalities)* Hull Loss Accidents
1959–2017 2008–2017 1959–2017 2008–2017 1959–2017 2008–2017 1959–2017 2008–2017

*External fatalities include on-ground fatalities as well as fatalities in other aircraft involved.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Passenger 1,585 316 500 37 29,298
(803)
2,199
(67)
730 101
Scheduled 1,462 299 453 35 25,101 2,116 659 95
Charter 123 17 47 2 4,197 83 71 6
Cargo 281 61 82 15 282
(385)
45
(58)
188 35
Maintenance test, ferry, positioning, training,
and demonstration
123 10 44 3 208
(66)
17
(0)
75 7
Total 1,989 387 626 55 29,788
(1,254)
2,261
(125)
993 143

Of the 387 accidents recorded from 2008 through 2017, 55 accidents (14 percent of the total) were fatal, the report said (Figure 4). Data showed that of the 55 fatal accidents, 46 were also classified as hull loss accidents, two were classified as resulting in substantial damage to the airplane, and seven were classified as resulting in no substantial damage.

Figure 4 — Accidents, by Injury and Damage, Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet

Note: Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Figure 5 traces the accident rates through the nearly 50 years since Boeing’s record keeping began, with high rates in the early years, followed by a relatively steady decline.

Figure 5 — Accident Rates and Onboard Fatalities by Year

Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes

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